Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.000529 0.000613 0.000701 0.000803 0.000915 0.001036 0.001174
2025-06-29 0.000394 0.000506 0.000635 0.000794 0.000981 0.001193 0.001451
2025-07-06 0.000317 0.000439 0.000587 0.000777 0.001011 0.001287 0.001634
2025-07-13 0.000275 0.000407 0.000573 0.000796 0.001079 0.001423 0.001867
2025-07-20 0.000241 0.000378 0.000558 0.000808 0.001135 0.001542 0.002079
2025-07-27 0.000206 0.000343 0.000531 0.000799 0.001161 0.001622 0.002243
2025-08-03 0.000175 0.000309 0.000501 0.000784 0.001175 0.001686 0.002385
2025-08-10 0.000157 0.000291 0.000491 0.000793 0.001221 0.001789 0.002580
2025-08-17 0.000139 0.000272 0.000476 0.000794 0.001255 0.001876 0.002754
2025-08-24 0.000117 0.000243 0.000445 0.000768 0.001247 0.001907 0.002852
2025-08-31 0.000098 0.000218 0.000417 0.000744 0.001240 0.001936 0.002948
2025-09-07 0.000087 0.000204 0.000404 0.000741 0.001264 0.002007 0.003102
2025-09-14 0.000077 0.000190 0.000391 0.000739 0.001289 0.002082 0.003265
2025-09-21 0.000066 0.000175 0.000374 0.000729 0.001301 0.002138 0.003402
2025-09-28 0.000056 0.000159 0.000355 0.000714 0.001304 0.002180 0.003519
2025-10-05 0.000052 0.000154 0.000356 0.000732 0.001357 0.002297 0.003747
2025-10-12 0.000048 0.000149 0.000353 0.000743 0.001401 0.002402 0.003957
2025-10-19 0.000041 0.000138 0.000340 0.000734 0.001413 0.002457 0.004097
2025-10-26 0.000035 0.000126 0.000324 0.000720 0.001414 0.002496 0.004212
2025-11-02 0.000032 0.000121 0.000321 0.000729 0.001453 0.002593 0.004416
2025-11-09 0.000029 0.000114 0.000314 0.000730 0.001479 0.002671 0.004592
2025-11-16 0.000024 0.000103 0.000295 0.000706 0.001460 0.002677 0.004659
2025-11-23 0.000019 0.000092 0.000277 0.000683 0.001443 0.002685 0.004729